DraftKings College Football: Value Picks and Strategy for Saturday, Nov. 7

Paul Perkins -- UCLA
Paul Perkins -- UCLA

The college football season is already winding down if you can believe that, as we're already on Week 10. This week could be one of the craziest yet as there are a number of games with really high totals – Texas Tech/West Virginia, Cincinnati/Houston, and TCU/Oklahoma State stand out. No doubt the scores will be insane on DraftKings.

Quarterbacks

Everyone will be looking to grab expensive QBs slated to fire away in some of the expected shootouts, but you'll probably need at least one cheap QB per roster in order to make the salaries fit. Kelly is a solid option as he's facing an Arkansas defense that has excelled against the run (20th in yards per game) but been terrible against the pass (273 yards per game allowed, 115th nationally).

Kelly is a high-variance QB who isn't afraid to turn it over (12 picks on the year) but that's exactly the type who can make the big plays that can make or break a lineup. He can run it a little bit too as he has four rushing TDs, and that gives added upside.

Iowa is known for its defense and running game, so the last thing most fantasy players are looking for is an Iowa QB. That means ownership on Beathard will be extremely low, but if you look close, he could be a hidden gem this week.

Indiana is at the absolute bottom of the pass yards allowed per game table, giving up an ugly 342 per game. Their per-play metric isn't much better, ranking 110th, so this is a premium match-up. Beathard started off the year with some nice fantasy performances before tapering off once he started seeing saltier Big 10 units. This Indiana defense is more in line with the weaker teams Beathard faced earlier on though, so he could be worth a look as a low-ownership punt.

Running Backs

Five-star QB Josh Rosen has garnered all of the headlines for UCLA's offense and he has indeed impressed, but Perkins may be the key man for the second consecutive week as the Bruins take on the defensively-challenged Beavers of Oregon State, who allow 192 rushing yards per game, 89th in the nation. Perkins is averaging 64 yards per carry on the season, and with his team -18 favorites, he should see a heavier than usual workoad.

Another Pac-10 team that has struggled mightily against the run is Washington State, as the Cougars are allowing an average of 206 yards per game and 5.13 yards per rush, both among the worst marks in the nation.

Richard showed what he could do in a shootout when he trucked Oregon for 135 yards on 19 carries last Thursday. He has put up 27+ in four of the last six weeks, and with this game sitting with a betting total of 66.5, there's a good chance that streak continues.

If your star tailback is going to go down for the season with a nasty injury, it helps to have a five-star recruit waiting in the wings to take over, and that's the role Michel has played after seeing his role drastically increase following the loss of Nick Chubb. Michel was already serving as a scatback and pass-catcher when Chubb needed rest – he has 18 catches for 206 yards and three TDs.

Michel hasn't had it easy so far as the starter as he faced a couple of tough run defenses in Florida and Missouri but things should be easier against Kentucky's 76th-ranked outfit. Further helping Michel's cause is the Bulldogs' horrendous QB play, which should see them rely more on him than ever.

Wide Receivers

Marks has been one of the nation's most productive receivers his year, putting up 19+ fantasy points in all but one week. He seems to be the preferred red zone target on a Wazzu team that has plenty of passing wealth to go around as Marks has 11 TDs.

Arizona State doesn't present much of an obstacle for Marks since the Sun Devils are 101st in the nation, allowing 259.5 yards per game. This game's likely to be a track meet with both teams in the top 30 in pace, so Marks should rack up plenty of PPR points even if he doesn't find the end zone.

Duke/UNC has a decent total of 58, so there should be a decent bit of scoring in this one. North Carolina has a highly-ranked pass defense, but it's inflated by the almost total lack of good offenses they've played. McCaffrey is by far the top WR on the team, leading Duke in yards, catches, and TDs, and he's finding his groove with two straight games of 90+ yards.

The TCU/Oklahoma State tilt carries one of the highest totals of the week at 76.5, so expect plenty of scoring in this one. The Cowboys have two co-leaders at WR in Glidden and James Washington, and both are priced about equally with Washington at $4,500. Either is a fine play, but with Washington coming off a monster game of four catches for 200 yards, expect his ownership to be a decent bit higher than Glidden's, so if Glidden has a big game it may be a little more beneficial to your bottom line.

Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah is a writer and editor for FantasyWired. He has been a season-long fantasy aficionado for years and has booked a profit while delving into daily format under the name "EVHustler" on DraftKings.

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