DraftKings College Football: Value Picks and Strategy for Saturday, Nov. 21

Malachi Dupre
Malachi Dupre

Week 12 of college football has arrived, and that means it's the second-to-last full week of college pigskin goodness for the year. It's a week packed with huge match-ups, and DraftKings is offering $85,000 guaranteed on the $3 Redshirt and $75,000 in the $27 Tailgate for a 15-gamer starting at noon.

Quarterbacks

Barrett reasserted himself as Ohio State's starter, and it's for good reason. In his past four starts, he's ran for 2+ TDs in three of them. He's averaging 13 carries in those contests overall, a very encouraging number when looking for rushing upside in a QB.

Barrett's price has dropped a bit this week due to a perceived tough match-up with the Spartans, but Michigan State is actually 87th in the nation in yards per play allowed through the air at 7.5. Sparty's reputation outstrips their actual ability this year, as they've only held two opponents under 20 points, so this is a good spot to take advantage and draft Barrett when many will likely shy away.

It's not often you can get a productive starting QB in a game with one of the highest totals on the board for $5,400, but that's exactly where McGough is priced for FIU's battle with WKU. This game has a total of 65.5 and McGough is expected to be playing from behind with his team +16.5 underdogs.

WKU isn't exactly a tough match-up as they allow 7.6 yards per attempt and over 250 yards per game. As an added bonus, McGough is coming off of his worst game of the season (against Marshall's top-ranked pass defense), ending a stretch where he put up 23+ in three of four games. His overall numbers for the year are quite good at 65 percent completions and a 21-6 TD-INT ratio, so this should be a nice bounce back spot.

Running Backs

Farrow has had a nose for the endzone all year with 12 TDs so far, and he scored twice more last week despite receiving a season-low 10 carries, likely due to his team playing from way behind in the second half against Memphis.

Farrow's a good bet to score again this week for two reasons. First, he's facing a soft Connecticut defense that's 88th in the nation at 4.6 yards per carry allowed. Second, QB Greg Ward is listed as questionable and seems unlikely to play, in which case Farrow would probably get a bigger share of the offensive load.

It doesn't seem to matter who is in the backfield for Iowa as three different RBs have racked up huge yardage and fantasy totals behind their outstanding offensive line. The past two weeks, however, it's been Daniels Jr. leading the way with 23 and 26 carries, and he appears to be back atop the depth chart for the moment after he torched a decent Minnesota run defense for almost 200.

This week, Iowa faces a putrid Purdue run defense that gives up more than five yards a pop, so the situation is ripe for another big day. If you're willing to swallow the risk of getting vultured by Iowa's other capable backs, this is a decent spot to fire on Daniels Jr.

Ross began the season with a solid role in the offense, tallying 15+ touches in three of the first four games, which he turned into 13+ DK points in each. For the season, he's averaging 5.2 yards per carry, so we know he can produce when given the rock. It appears he's back in the driver's seat for touches after fellow back Wes Brown was suspended, and Ross gets to face an Indiana allowing 4.75 YPA in a game with a total of 64. At this price, he should deliver value easily.

Wide Receivers

Taylor is the favorite target of prolific WKU QB Brandon Doughty and he has been one of the nation's most consistent receivers. He already has 65 catches for more than 1,000 yards and he's had just two weeks all season below 20 points on DK. He faces FIU's average pass defense in a game that's expected to see a ton of scoring, so expect the usual fantasy haul from Taylor, who has 40-point upside.

Dupre is an elite talent who was the second-ranked receiver in his high school class and a top-15 player overall. He has showed why by averaging more than 17 yards per catch this season, and that big-play ability down the field gives him big upside, especially at this low price.

His biggest problem this season has been poor QB play from Brandon Harris, who is completing just 56 percent of his passes. If Ole Miss zeroes in on Heisman hopeful RB Leonard Fournette and loads the box with bodies as expected, Dupre will see plenty of one-on-one coverage and should be able to burn Ole Miss deep, provided Harris can get the ball near him.

We already know this game should be a fantasy bonanza, and nobody looks like a better value than Owens, who comes at a ridiculously cheap price considering he's the top WR for a capable QB in a likely shootout.

Owens has been highly productive all year with an average of 18.3 fantasy points, but circumstances here are even more favorable than usual due to injury. The team's next two most productive receivers are both hurt and looking unlikely to play, paving the way for Owens to take an even bigger share of the targets.

Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah is a writer and editor for FantasyWired. He has been a season-long fantasy aficionado for years and has booked a profit while delving into daily format under the name "EVHustler" on DraftKings.

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