DraftKings College Football: Value Picks and Strategy for Saturday, Nov. 14

Sony Michel
Sony Michel

Week 11 is upon us as the final full month of college football continues, and DraftKings has another 16-game slate for us. The mix of games includes mostly totals on the lower side, so it should be a very interesting week in both the $100K Redshirt and the $90K Tailgate contests.

Quarterbacks

Cook is heating up after consecutive games north of 32 fantasy points, and he has another lovely match-up this week against Maryland. The Terrapins have been awful against the pass, allowing 7.9 yards per attempt, 98th in the nation. On the other hand, they're fairly stout against the run, ranking 36th, so the onus will likely be on Cook to put up a good chunk of the 35 points the betting line indicated the Spartans should score.

Kansas State/Texas Tech is undoubtedly the marquee game of the week from a fantasy perspective with a total of 72.5 and a close betting line of Tech -5.5. That means many will target this game, especially the Red Raiders' famed passing attack, but Hubener is a nice pivot play who comes a lot cheaper.

His passing stats may not be very impressive – he's under 50 percent completions for the year with equal INTs to TDs – but Hubener can run the ball pretty well, as he showed in piling up 153 yards and a pair of scores against Baylor. Texas Tech's defense is far inferior to Baylor's, so the potential is there for another big day for Hubener.

Running Backs

Weekly Sony Michel tout? Weekly Sony Michel tout. I've beaten this drum all year, and Michel came through once again for us last week with a monster 24-165 line, although he only scored once. This week, he gets an Auburn defense that has allowed 4.78 yards per carry. Furthermore, the Bulldogs are playing way up in pace against Gus Malzahn's quick offense.

The Georgia passing game continues to be dreadful after a two-QB approach combined for 90 yards against Kentucky, so expect another big workload for Michel, who still looks underpriced.

The highly touted son of former NFL star Fred Taylor, Kelvin has looked pretty good this year, grinding out yards despite playing in one of the worst offenses in the nation. The SEC schedule has had its ups and downs for him but this should be an up against a South Carolina defense that has been gashed by opposing runners for 5.24 per carry, 118th in the nation.

The UF passing game has been predictably awful since Treon Harris took over for the suspended Will Grier, which should mean lots of carries for Taylor. Game flow should also be in his favor since the Gators are -7.5 favorites.

The dreaded C-word – committee – has been the story of Duke's backfield so far this year, which has been unfortunate because it's home to some reasonably talented playmakers. Shaun Wilson has gone down injured though, opening the door for some extra touches for Duncan and Shaq Powell.

Both are fine plays against a Pitt defense that allows 4.48 yards per carry. While Powell is the better receiver, Duncan has looked like the more productive runner in recent weeks and likely would have had a big day against North Carolina – he had 115 yards on just 13 carries – had game flow not dictated a pass-heavy attack. That shouldn't be an issue this week with the Blue Devils favored by three.

Wide Receivers

His physically unimpressive stature – he stands just 5-foot-6 – has not stopped Grant from running wild against opposing defenses this season. The Wildcats have a respectable pass defense, but there should be a ton of points scored in this one, and Grant should get big volume with the score expected to be tight. He's not as consistent as some of the other top receivers, but with two games over 40 fantasy points, Grant's upside is as big as anyone's.

Louis is easily Auburn's top receiver, and after some early season doldrums, the switch to Sean White at QB saw Louis rip off games of 26, 14, and 26 fantasy points over a three-week stretch. That ended last week with a bagel in the catch column against Texas A&M, so expect a lot of people who were burned to stay away from Louis. Take advantage of the low ownership and a price drop from $5,300.

North Carolina's passing game has blossomed this year, with the Heels tied for second nationally at 10.1 yards per attempt through the air. That makes them a great team to target, but QB Marqise Williams has plenty of capable targets so it's difficult to zero in on one receiver.

This week, the Heels get one of the fantasy-friendly match-ups with a game against Miami that has a total of 61.5. Hollins has emerged in recent weeks as a dynamo deep threat, while Switzer has long been playmaker both through the air and in the punt return game, where has one long TD return this season. Either of these guys is a threat to go off against the Hurricanes' average pass defense.

Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah is a writer and editor for FantasyWired. He has been a season-long fantasy aficionado for years and has booked a profit while delving into daily format under the name "EVHustler" on DraftKings.

Comments

[[article.id]]