AT&T Byron Nelson DraftKings Picks

Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson

Jason Day will take this week off, which is good news for the 152 golfers competing at the AT&T Byron Nelson in Irving, Texas. The suddenly human Jordan Spieth headlines a field that includes 10 of the Top 30 players in the world, including Dustin Johnson, Louis Oosthuizen, Sergio Garcia, Brandt Snedeker, Zach Johnson and Brooks Koepka.

Former Byron Nelson champions Steven Bowditch, Brendon Todd, Jason Dufner and Keegan Bradley will also be in the field this week. Last year, Bowditch broke the 72-hole record at this tournament by shooting 18-under and winning handily by four strokes. His narrative is one to keep an eye on this week. The Aussie has been miserable this season, missing the cut in five straight events including THE PLAYERS last week. But Bowditch has fond memories of this venue, not only winning last year but also getting married on the property in 2011. He now calls Irving, Texas his second home. He's a gamble this week, but could be worth a look in GPPs.

As always, there is plenty of great fantasy golf to play on DraftKings. Our feature contest is the $300K Birdie, a $3 entry GPP that will pay out $20,000 to the winner. In this article we break down our top plays of the week to help you chase a big payday this weekend.

HOW DRAFTKINGS FANTASY GOLF WORKS

  • In each fantasy contest, participants will be assigned a fixed salary cap of $50,000 that they can use to draft their entire six golfer lineup.
  • The golfer pool will consist of all golfers expected to be participating in the tournament. Any missing golfers will not be added to the pool once DraftKings starts offering contests for that week. If a golfer is scratched late from an event, he will remain in the player pool, and you must be aware to remove them from your team before the tournament starts. Golfer salaries will also not change once DraftKings starts offering contests for that tournament start time.
  • Contest results and winners will be based on the total fantasy points scored across each entrant’s six golfer lineup scoring system.

THE COURSE

TPC Four Seasons Resort at Las Colinas is a Par-70 course that measures 7,166 yards. The course underwent a major redesign in 2009 to create more of a challenge for pros. Las Colinas features narrow fairways and numerous water hazards and bunkers. The greens on the course are fast, large and bumpy, so proximity with irons will be critical in order to avoid long lag putts.

Stats to consider: Driving Distance, Par 4 scoring, Birdie-or-Better Percentage, Proximity, Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green

EVENT HISTORY (SINCE 2012)

Event history is one of the key trends to look at when picking your team. Some players perform better at TPC Four Seasons than others, and it shows up in past results. Here's a look at the top performers since 2012.

Place2015201420132012
1Steven BowditchBrendon ToddSang-Moon BaeJason Dufner
2Charley Hoffman (T2)Mike WeirKeegan BradleyDicky Pride
3Scott Pinckney (T2)Charles Howell III (T3)Charl SchwartzelJonas Blixt (T3)
4Jimmy Walker (T2)Marc Leishman (T3)Justin BolliJoe Durant (T3)
5Zach JohnsonJames Hahn (T5)Morgan Hoffmann (T5)J.J. Henry (T3)
6Jon Curran (T6)Boo Weekley (T5)Martin Kaymer (T5)Marc Leishman (T3)
7Brandt Snedeker (T6)Graham DeLaet (T7)Scott Piercy (T5)Ken Duke (T7)
8Jason Dufner (T8)Dustin Johnson (T7)Charley Hoffman (T8)Phil Mickelson (T7)
9Dustin Johnson (T8)Matt Kuchar (T7)John Huh (T8)Jason Day (T9)
10Six Players (T10)Gary Woodland (T7)Two players (T10)Five others (T9)

TOP-TIER PLAYS

Dustin Johnson

World Rank: 8
DraftKings Price: $11,900
Vegas Odds to Win: 8/1

Dustin has quietly put together a very nice season despite failing to find the winner's circle. He has made the cut in all eight events with three Top 5s, and many of those came with him storming back on Sunday to backdoor his way into a great finish.

We think DJ will claim his first title this week in Texas. He has four Top 10s in six tries at Las Colinas and his game lines up well with the course. He hits the ball far and goes for birdies and eagles. We were also surprised to see that he ranks in the Top 50 in proximity this season, so if he continues to be efficient with his irons he could run away with this thing.

Matt Kuchar

World Rank: 30
DraftKings Price: $10,500
Vegas Odds to Win: 18

Johnson is the only top-tier player we REALLY like this week, but we'll provide an alternative here in Kuchar. He's made the cut in all seven trips to Irving with his best finish coming in 2011 (6th). He sneaked up on the field at THE PLAYERS last week with a final round of 68 to finish T3.

Never at the top of our GPP radar, Kuchar is as safe as it gets for cash games this week.

VALUE PICKS AND SLEEPERS

Gary Woodland

World Rank: 77
DraftKings Price: $8,500
Vegas Odds to Win: 45/1

We're high on the bombers this week, and Woodland certainly fits that billing. He ranks third on tour in driving distance and is turning that length into scoring opportunities.

Woodland has made the cut here six straight times and his recent form is solid enough to make him a very nice value play this week.

Tony Finau

World Rank: 81
DraftKings Price: $8,100
Vegas Odds to Win: 60/1

Another bomber. Finau finished 10th at Las Colinas last year and has been playing better of late after missing four straight cuts earlier this season. We would never recommend him for cash games, but Finau is always in play for GPPs because of his ability to make birdies and eagles. DraftKings rewards golfers who can score.

Lucas Glover

World Rank: 208
DraftKings Price: $7,500
Vegas Odds to Win: 75/1

Yes, Glover again this week. Sorry to be redundant — blame DraftKings because he's still underpriced!

Glover ranks in the top 20 on tour in Proximity and Strokes Gained tee-to-Green. He's also no slouch with his driver, ranking 33rd in Driving Distance. While he's never played this course, Glover is playing his best golf in years and might find himself with a second-straight Top 10 this week.

Alex Cejka

World Rank: 149
DraftKings Price: $6,800
Vegas Odds to Win: 120/1

We've listed Cejka in this article twice before and he missed the cut both times, so of course he finished T9 last week when he was off our radar. Hopefully he can keep it rolling in Irving where he has three Top 30 finishes since the course was redesigned in 2009.

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Brett Collson

Brett Collson

Brett Collson is the editor-in-chief of FantasyWired.com. Formerly the managing editor of PokerNews.com, Collson made the transition to daily fantasy sports full time in 2015. He's an avid and successful DFS player, earning more than $350,000 in DFS tournament cashes under the name "bertminatti" on DraftKings and FanDuel.

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