Elite GPP Plays for NFL Week 16

Jameis Winston
Jameis Winston

There are huge DFS contests available on DraftKings and FanDuel beginning on Saturday. In this article we reveal high-upside GPP players who could help you take down a big tournament on both sites in Week 16 of the NFL season.

DraftKings Week 16 GPP Plays

He's coming off a relatively quiet performance from a fantasy perspective in a loss at Dallas and put up a meager 8.96 DK points in a win over New Orleans two weeks ago, so Winston should be lightly owned in tournament formats. Yet as we all know, games in the Mercedes Benz Superdome are akin to driving a golf ball on the moon in how that setting can inflate offensive production. Drew Brees caught fire in a 48-41 win over Arizona's stout defense in Week 15 and he should be a very popular play in cash games and tournament alike, but his success will precipitate more production from Winston and that makes him worth a look against one of the worst defenses in the NFL.

Let's stay in the NFL's version of Coors Field and look at the Saints talented running back, who is showing increasing frustration at being locked into a timeshare with veteran Tim Hightower. Ingram was yanked at the goal line last Sunday and threw a temper tantrum, but afterwards apologized to most of his teammates and seemed repentant while talking to the media. As long as Saints HC Sean Payton feels like Ingram has moved on, the former Heisman Trophy Winner could receive "squeaky wheel" treatment and get more carries than usual against the Bucs 24th-ranked rush defense. He averaged 4.6 YPC last week and saw at least two targets for the seventh consecutive game, so Ingram has a lot of upside at this price tag on DraftKings.

Farrow was basically a dud in Week 15 during a game that was decided by field goal kickers, so he probably won't be a popular option at $5K even if Melvin Gordon (hip) misses another week. Gordon has yet to return to practice and Farrow's situation will be completely different if he's preparing to face the sad, sad Browns in Cleveland as the Chargers starting back. Ronnie Hillman barely mixed in for seven carries and San Diego's coaching staff clearly prefers Farrow as the workhorse in the absence of Gordon, so he could have a much better end line in a game with positive game flow for the Chargers.

Even with Alshon Jeffery back, Matt Barkely targeted Meredith a whopping 13 times last Sunday and his favorite WR hauled in 9 of those looks for 104 yards to produce 22.4 DK points in subzero temperatures. The weather can't possibly be quite that bad in Chicago this weekend, but Meredith proved he's tough enough to make catches over the middle and take extremely painful hits on frozen Soldier Field. This Saturday, the Bears will host a Redskins team that's on a short week and has really struggled to cover slot receivers this year, and Meredith's target share could increase further if Josh Norman shadows Jeffery in this game.

You could pair Winston with his top WR in Mike Evans, but that hasn't worked in for several weeks because opposing defenses simply don't have to respect Evans' counterparts in Russell Shepard and freaking Freddie Martino. When Evans sees double coverage, Winston looks towards Brate over the middle, and the tight end has emerged as one of the strongest red zone targets in the NFL during the second half of the season. He literally ripped the ball away from two Cowboys defenders for a TD on Sunday night and should be able to come up with several big plays against a Saints team that ranks 25th in DVOA pass defense against opposing TEs this season.

FanDuel Week 16 GPP Plays

It's been a nightmarish season for Newton and his teammates, but they're technically still alive in the playoff race and would certainly relish in defeating their divisional rivals and the current leaders in the NFC South. The last time these teams met, Julio Jones went supernova for 300 receiving yards, but now Jones is hobbled by a toe injury and might only serve as a decoy for the visiting Falcons. Meanwhile, the Panthers re-established their run-first offense with a dominant performance against the weak Redskins defense on MNF, and both Cam and Jonathan Stewart could run all over a Falcons team that ranks 28th in DVOA run defense this season.

Last week, Devonta Freeman was coming off an absolute dud, but came through as the best RB play on the board with a huge 3 TD performance against the 49ers. Gurley is coming off an entire season of struggles, but he's still worth consideration in the best matchup imaginable for a running back. San Francisco is giving up the most RuYPG (176.3) in the NFL by far this season and they've given up the most rushing TDs (22) as well. The Rams had little time to adjust under interim HC John Fassel in a brutal matchup at Seattle on Saturday, but now they'll have extra rest and the added motivation of avenging their Week 1 loss to the 49ers and the embarrassing designation as the only team SF has defeated all year.

The Patriots defense carried the day in Denver last Sunday, but Tom Brady struggled as badly as ever and none of his receiving options had very good games. That will throw some water on Mitchell after his breakout performances in Weeks 11-14, but he's a prime candidate to put up big numbers in a juicy matchup this week. The Jets continue to struggle in coverage, as they're ranked dead last in DVOA pass defense and give up the sixth-most PPG (24.3) in the NFL this season. Mitchell is a superb athlete, who is much taller than aging CB Darrelle Revis and should give the Jets secondary fits while Brady throws lasers towards one of his new favorite targets.

If you simply want to find serious salary relief, or a contrarian option to avoid chasing J.J. Nelson's production against the weak Saints defense last week, turn to the Seahawks No. 2 receiver. Technically, Lockett is the third option for Russell Wilson, but TE Jimmy Graham draws a brutal matchup against a Cardinals defense that's ranked third in DVOA against his position and Doug Baldwin could draw shadow coverage from Patrick Peterson. Lockett has caught fire as a big play guy since overcoming his knee issues from earlier this season and the Cardinals are ranked 28th in DVOA against the opposition's No. 2 WR, so he could make a splash play or two in Seattle, where Wilson and his teammates are averaging a full eight more PPG this season.

Howard is really one of the safest plays on the board at RB this week, but that doesn't mean he can't flash some upside in a great matchup. The Redskins are right behind the 49ers as the second-worst defense against the run this year and they'll be playing on a short week after getting steamrolled by Jonathan Stewart and the Panthers last Monday. Howard is averaging 23.3 touches and 113.3 YFS per game over his last 3 appearances and he put up a huge game with 3 TDs against San Francisco's woeful run defense, so you can hope for similar results against Washington if the weather is brutal in Chicago once again.

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Nathaniel Weitzer

Nathaniel Weitzer

Nate Weitzer is a successful DFS player that specializes in Daily NBA and MLB advice. He's currently working as a sports journalist in Boston, but writing about fantasy sports is way better than doing "human interest" pieces on local athletes, so he contributes to multiple fantasy sites on a daily basis. Follow him @nweitzer7 for year-round fantasy sports advice.

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