Fantasy Football: Five Mismatches to Exploit in Week 14

Jordan Howard
Jordan Howard

In order to be successful in fantasy football, we need to be able to exploit matchups and set our lineups with players most likely to succeed based on mismatches. Each week of the 2016 season, I will provide five players that should outperform their weekly expectations based on favorable factors that exist in their matchup. This list, for the most part, will not consist of elite players like Antonio Brown and David Johnson, because you are starting these guys regardless of the matchup. This list, however, will focus more on the players with economical DFS prices and lower projections that could potentially put up elite numbers in a given week. With that being said, here is the list for Week 14.

Five Fantasy Football Mismatches for NFL Week 14

Miller has let fantasy owners down this season, but most of that is correlated to a bad Texans’ offense led by Brock Osweiler. On the bright side, the volume is certainly there as Miller is touching the ball more than 19 times a game. The other silver lining is how Miller performed the last time he played against the Colts. He had 178 total yards and two touchdowns for 35.8 DraftKings points. More good news? The Colts are still bad against the run, ranking 31st in rush defense efficiency. Miller should post elite numbers in this favorable matchup and he could go overlooked in DFS contests.

Williams has been Philip Rivers’ favorite target since Keenan Allen went down. Since becoming a starter, Williams has scored double digit fantasy points in 7 of 11 of games. Meanwhile, the Panthers are allowing the 22nd most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, mostly due to their depleted secondary. Williams should be able to exploit this matchup and find the end zone for the fifth straight week.

In the two games since A.J. Green went down with a hamstring injury, LaFell has garnered 16 targets and is coming off a 95-yard game with a touchdown against an elite Eagles pass defense. Cleveland ranks 31st against the pass, and it appears any wide receiver can find success against the their secondary. If Green misses another game, which seems likely, look to plug LaFell into your lineup.

Howard has been nothing short of terrific in the Bears’ rushing attack. He has 99+ total yards in 5 straight games since becoming the starter in Chicago. He is averaging 4.9 yards per carry, which is tied for third most with Ezekiel Elliott and behind only LeSean McCoy and Jay Ajayi. On the other side of the ball, the Lions rank 28th in rush defense. The last time Howard faced the Lions he racked up more than 130 total yards. Howard is a must-start in season-long leagues and a top play in daily formats.

Fiedorowicz has been one of the more reliable fantasy tight ends this season. Brock Osweiler targets both of his tight ends a lot (15 times last week), and that has benefited Fiedorowicz tremendously. On the other side, the Colts are dead last in the NFL against opposing tight ends, allowing 79 yards per game. Fiedorowicz had 85 yards and a touchdown in the first meeting between these two teams and should be in for another solid night.

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Alex Hamrick

Alex Hamrick

Born and raised in South Carolina, Alex Hamrick is currently in Law School where he is pursuing dual graduate degrees in Law (J.D.) as well as in Business (M.B.A.). With a background in quantitative methods and analysis, Alex enjoys using statistics and data analytics to develop detailed fantasy football analysis. You can follow him on Twitter and Instagram @AlexBHamrick.