We have a 5-game slate of NBA action on Monday night, and there are plenty of big prizes up for grabs on DraftKings and FanDuel. The Five and Dime highlights several players that will likely be part of winning lineups, and one "sleeper" selection that could jettison a GPP lineup towards the top of the leaderboard.
The lengthy NBA season ebbs and flows while certain players find a way to break out of their slumps. Rubio is finally playing well enough to earn some respect from HC Tom Thibeadou and a steady role throughout the second half after getting benched down the stretch in some games earlier this season. He carried the Rockets offense with a near triple double (11 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists) over 41 minutes of run last Saturday and now he faces a Suns team that plays at the fastest pace in the league while giving up the second-most PPG (113) and fifth-most FPPG (45.72) to opposing PGs this season.
You might want to pay up a little more for Kentavious Caldwell-Pope at $5,300 on DraftKings, but Harris is such a great bargain on FanDuel that it's worth riding with him once again tonight. The Nuggets (-8.5) are definitely expected to beat the lowly Mavs at home tonight, but Dallas has been much more competitive lately with Deron Williams playing good ball at the point and we should see a full slate of minutes from Harris amongst Denver's other starters. The Mavericks give up the second-most APG (5.22) to opposing SGs this season and Harris is providing solid peripheral production while averaging 12.6 PPG on 51.5% FG shooting over 8 appearances this year.
After a couple of very quiet games despite playing heavy minutes, GR3 finally came through with a double double to exceed value in a brutal matchup against the Pistons last Saturday. Now he faces a Wizards team that is arguably the worst defensive squad in the NBA, as Washington ranks 23rd in defensive rating and 29th in opponents FG shooting (.472%) on the year. Washington is also coming off a shootout win over the Clippers last night and will likely be even more tired, while younger Pacers such as Robinson III can take advantage. With Rodney Stuckey (hamstring) and Monta Ellis (groin) both ruled out already, Robinson is clearly a value play worth consideration.
I like the idea of paying up for Russell Westbrook tonight and using Millsap as a correlation play in the hopes that Atlanta and OKC get into a shootout down at Loud City. The Hawks best overall player is coming off a couple of quiet games in brutal matchups against Toronto and Charlotte, but now he faces a Thunder squad that gives up the tenth-most PPG (20.85) to opposing PFs and really struggles to defend athletic stretch fours like Millsap. With rookie Domantas Sabonis starting and slow-footed center Enes Kanter rotating in at the 4, the Thunder have been torched by the best PFs in the league this year and that probably won't change with Millsap primed for a big game on the road tonight.
That is now consecutive games in which Jokic played only around 20 minutes due to foul trouble, yet still managed to meet value with 28.25 DK points (27.3 FD points) in that limited amount of playing time. It's highly unlikely that the Mavericks 28th-ranked offense will give the Nuggets defense much trouble tonight, while the starting combination of Salah Mejri and Dwight Powell up front shouldn't force Jokic to commit many fouls in the post. While he's out there, the Joker is an elite producer with per 36 minute averages of 16.9 points, 11 rebounds and 4.7 assists this season, and Nuggets HC Mike Malone just recently caved and began to play his most talented big man 30-plus minutes on a nightly basis.
Finney-Smith is clearly breaking out as a rotational NBA player and making the most of his opportunities to fill in for the injury-plagued Mavs, but his price tag actually dropped after a predictably quiet game against Utah's top-ranked defense. He immediately bounced back with 17 points and 26 DK points (22.9 FD points) against the Kings weak D on Saturday night and now he draws a dream matchup against a Nuggets team that gives up the fifth-most PPG (106.1) while playing at the sixth-fastest pace in the NBA this year. DFS actually had his best game of the season with 13 points, 9 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks and 2 steals in a win over Denver last Monday and he should see plenty of run against an athletic young team.