DraftKings College Football: Value Picks and Strategy for Saturday, Oct. 17

DraftKings College Football: Value Picks and Strategy for Saturday, Oct. 17 0001

DraftKings' college football slate looks a little different than in weeks past, as the $27 entry has been changed to the $20 Big Game with a pumped-up prize pool of $200,000. The $3 Redshirt features a $135,000 prize pool. We break down our top value plays for the afternoon slate to help you win some of the cash in those huge contests.

Top Quarterback

In recent years, a match-up between Ole Miss and Memphis might have meant a low-scoring defensive struggle – indeed, the two struggled to a total of 27 points in last year's tilt. However, 2015 is a new year and the reins have come off both offenses, with QBs Kelly and Paxton Lynch putting up prolific numbers on a near-weekly basis and this game has a total of 70.5.

On the other side of the coin, Memphis has really struggled to defend the pass this year, allowing more than 300 yards per game and 7.7 yards per attempt despite the likes of Missouri State, Kansas, and South Florida populating the schedule. Kelly has been extremely productive and should have a field day against this defense, and he'll have all the possessions he needs against a team that's third nationally in pace.

Top Running Backs

At first glance, it may not appear that game flow wouldn't be in Langer's favor with his team sitting as two-touchdown underdogs to ECU, but a glance at his carry totals from this season shows otherwise: 28, 19, 31, 33, 24. QB Dane Evans may have grabbed the national headlines with his big day against Oklahoma, but Tulsa remains quietly committed to the run, and Langer is the clear and effective workhorse. It would be a major surprise if he didn't find the end zone at least once against an ECU defense allowing 187 yards per game rushing.

Akron is expected to be in a reasonably high-scoring affair with Bowling Green as the total is 67. Someone's got to put those points up for the Zips, and since their passers are completing a dismal 44.7 percent of passes on the year, it may well be a running game headed by Hundley.

Bowling Green has a middling run defense that gives up 162 yards per game, 67th in the nation, so Hundley should do well and looks like a bargain at this price. The only caveat is he has been splitting carries with Donnell Alexander, but after the latter averaged 3.7 yards per rush last week while Hundley tallied 119 on 17 carries with two TDs, the hope is that his staff makes the sensible move.

Washington State coach Mike Leach is famously allergic to running the ball, but he won't find many better match-ups to dust off the old inside handoff than Oregon State. I've picked on this defense before and it's worth reiterating that they actually defend the pass pretty well but their run defense is horrid – they allow 5.2 yards per rush en route to a 112th nationally 216 yards per game.

As I predicted, Arizona carved this weak unit up with 6.3 yards per rush, and Wicks should find ample room whenever his name is called. When it's not, he should still be able to contribute as he has 22 catches on the year for 118 yards.

Top Wide Receivers

Treadwell is rounding into form after suffering a broken leg late last year, and it's showing in recent performances as he has put up 19+ fantasy points in three of his last four, even tallying 80 yards and a TD against Alabama's fearsome defense. He has now racked up 35 catches on the year and should see plenty of targets in the expected shootout with Memphis.

The former top recruit has star potential with the ability to rip off big plays, giving him as much upside as anyone for a very reasonable price.

Frazier has one of the nation's more prolific QBs, Paxton Lynch, throwing him the rock, and that translated into some nice early numbers for the Tigers' leading wideout. However, he has come back to Earth the past two weeks with back-to-back duds and his price plummeted to the lowest it's been since Week 2.

That presents a nice buy-low opportunity in what's expected to be a shootout with Ole Miss.

Everyone's well aware of Baylor proclivity for putting up points, and they will surely have plenty in a game with West Virginia that has a total of 75. If West Virginia is to have any hope of keeping up, they'll likely be airing it out as well since they're expected to be playing from behind as three-TD underdogs. Thus, Gibson could be in line for a big day on sheer volume as his team's top WR.

Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah is a writer and editor for FantasyWired. He has been a season-long fantasy aficionado for years and has booked a profit while delving into daily format under the name "EVHustler" on DraftKings.

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